The Director of Research at the Presidency, Dr Isaac Owusu- Mensah says the findings of his research that the New Patriotic Party (NPP) will retain power in 2024 and “break the eight” may change before the 2024 elections.
According to him, the data may change depending on the performance of the government between now and the next elections.
Prior to the 2016 election, Dr Owusu-Mensah, who was a lecturer at the Political Science Department of the University of Ghana, Legon, predicted that Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo and the NPP had a better chance of winning the December 7 election than Ex President, John Dramani Mahama of the National Democratic Congress (NDC).
In 2020, a research conducted by him again indicated that the NPP will win the election.
All these predictions came to pass.
After conducting a research into who wins the 2024 elections, the Researcher has again indicated the NPP-Government can break the eight with a slim margin.
Meanwhile, a London-based Economic Intelligence Unit (EIU), has predicted that public dissatisfaction with economic challenges, the slow pace of development and perceptions of corruption may thwart the chances of the NPP in the 2024 polls.
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Speaking on Atinka TV‘s morning show Ghana Nie with Ekourba Gyasi Simpremu, Dr Isaac Owusu- Mensah said despite the economic hardship Ghanaians are facing, they will weigh the options and still vote for the NPP because they are aware of the sources of the challenges Ghana is facing.
He said the methodology used for the research was scientific enough and neutral, saying that as it stands now, the NPP has a chance of breaking the eight.
However, Dr Isaac Owusu- Mensah admitted that from now till 2024 is a long time, saying that a lot can change before the elections.
“From now till 2024 is a very long time and a lot of things can happen, but if everything continues to be the same, this is the results we are going to have,” he said.
When asked if Ghanaians will still vote for the NPP considering the E-Levy, hike in fuel prices, food, inflation and others, he said,”They will compare food inflation, taxes and all that but they will weigh the two options and decide which one to go for and that is why we have the current findings.”
Ghana| Atinkaonline.com| Porcia Oforiwaa Ofori