London-based analysts, Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), says the National Democratic Congress (NDC) cannot win the 2024 general elections with former president Mahama as presidential candidate.
This was revealed in the EIU’s five-year forecast for Ghana released on April 13, 2022.
According to the report the NDC can revitalize this prospect of victory if they present a fresh presidential candidate for the 2024 polls.
Former President John Dramani Mahama has led the NDC into two unsuccessful election campaigns in 2016 and 2020.
The NDC is expected to face off with a new candidate by the governing New Patriotic Party (NPP) its new leader as the current President, Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo concludes his final term in 2024.
According to the EIU report, the NPP has been surrounded with unemployment, an economic downturn, corruption among others, which will fuel citizens’ sentiments against the ruling NPP administration.
“Our baseline forecast is that ongoing public dissatisfaction with the slow pace of improvements in governance—such as infrastructure development, job creation and easing of corruption—will trigger anti-incumbency factors and push the electorate to seek a change.”
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“The next parliamentary and presidential elections are due in 2024. Under constitutionally mandated term limits, the incumbent president, Mr Akufo-Addo, cannot run for a third term. The former president, John Mahama, is reportedly considering running again, but we expect the opposition NDC to try to revitalise its prospects with a fresh candidate,” excerpts of the latest report of the EIU read.
They believe this situation will tilt the balance in the NDC’s favour.
But from their findings, the international economic and political research consultancy group indicated that “John Mahama, is reportedly considering running again.”
The EIU has, in the past, correctly predicted the outcomes of Ghana’s elections in 2008, 2012, 2016 and 2020.
Ghana | Atinkaonline.com | Vivian Adu